March 26, 2022 • 10 hours ago • 4 minutes reading • 59 comments Brian Jean and Jason Kenney shake hands after Kenney’s leading victory on October 28, 2017. Photo by Gavin Young / Postmedia
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Brian Jean would be a more dangerous electoral enemy for the NDP than Prime Minister Jason Kenney, who now leads a nine-point UCP that leads the opposition led by Rachel Nutley, according to a recent poll.
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The online Leger Marketing survey of 1,002 Alberts conducted March 18-20 shows the NDP with 44 percent support among determined voters compared to 35 percent for the ruling UCP. But with Brian Jean at the helm of the UCP, the parties will be tied, each with 31 percent of the vote, according to the poll. Combined with these results are opinion polls showing that 58 per cent of Albertans believe Kenny should step down as prime minister, with just 18 per cent saying he should stay in office. Among UCP members, some of whom are scheduled to vote next month in a leadership review, 31 percent believe Kenney should resign while 43 percent say he should stay in office. These poll results came before UCP brass chose to conduct next month’s leadership review by mail-order vote, overturning its April 9 vote in Red Deer, a move that further encouraged anti-Kenney sentiment. party.
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On Thursday, UCP supporters Peter Guthrie and Jason Stephan called on Kenney to step down or go straight to a leadership contest, saying he had lost the confidence of many Albertans. The results of the poll could be a wake-up call not only for Kenney but also for the NDP, said Ian Large, executive vice president of Leger Marketing. “There are a lot of people moving in from the ‘undecided’ – 13 per cent under Kenney leadership. “which jumps to 23 percent with Jean,” said Large. “It’s probably milder NDP (support) than we expected.” Jean’s absence from the political battle so far may have left him relatively unscathed in the eyes of many voters, Large said. “It has the power of ‘you do not really know me,’” Large added.
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Former Wildrose Party leader Jean was defeated by Kenney in his 2017 bid to lead the UCP in a race tainted by funding irregularities and an ongoing RCMP investigation. Earlier this month, Jean won the Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche election for the UCP on a platform to oust Kenney as prime minister. Leger’s work is consistent with a recent survey conducted by Janet Brown’s poll, which suggests that Kenney’s electoral prospects are weaker than potential skeptics like Jean, said Lori Williams, a political scientist at Mount Royal University. “It’s no longer just a choice between Jason Kenney and Rachel Notley. “(Kenney’s) argument that only he can lead the party to victory is gone,” Williams said. The rise of the undecided in the Jean leadership scenario of the poll could speak to discontent among traditional UCP voters, Williams said.
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“If (Conservative voters) are angry enough, they could (move) away from voting in the NDP as they did in 2015,” he said. The results of the poll show that significant frustration with the UCP among right-wing voters will only increase with last week’s internal strife, Williams said. Other recent polls have shown a number of results in the fate of the two leading parties, but Large said Leger’s polls continue to suggest a steady rise in the NDP, although it has fallen one point since December and the UCP has won three. With news shining on the pandemic and economic fronts – with a recent balanced budget presented by the UCP, mainly due to much higher world oil prices – this slow trend could be accelerated, he added.
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“I would not be surprised if this upward trend and the natural (historical) dominance of the Conservatives continued,” Large said. But Williams said Kenny, in the eyes of too many Alberts, has a dubious history to defend and a history that may not be saved by the thickest state coffers, especially if the province’s working image does not improve. “He is the one who has the record to defend and I do not know if (surplus budgets) will be enough to bring about this overthrow,” he said. The Leger poll shows that 50 percent of Albertans believe the province is heading in the wrong direction, an improvement of four points from the company’s survey in December. In the most recent survey, 30 percent of Albertans see the county heading in the right direction compared to 23 percent three months ago.
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In a funding announcement for STARS Air Ambulance in Calgary on Friday, Kenney noted that he is the best man to lead the UCP and Alberta, given his track record of protecting the province through pandemics and economic downturns. “With this experience, I am the best person to move this party and the province forward,” he said, adding that he was looking forward to next month’s leadership review and embracing “the opportunity for accountability.” At the same time, he acknowledged that many in his party were “reasonably disappointed” with his government’s restrictions on COVID-19 – actions he said were needed to save lives and the health care system. The margin of error across the poll province is plus or minus 3.1 percent 19 times 20. [email protected] Twitter: @BillKaufmannjrn
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title: “Brian Jean Would Do Better Against Ndp Than Jason Kenney Poll " ShowToc: true date: “2022-11-21” author: “John Blockmon”
March 26, 2022 • 12 hours ago • 4 minutes reading • 64 comments Brian Jean and Jason Kenney shake hands after Kenney’s leadership victory on October 28, 2017. Photo by Gavin Young / Postmedia
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Brian Jean would be a more dangerous electoral enemy for the NDP than Prime Minister Jason Kenney, who now leads a nine-point UCP that leads the opposition led by Rachel Nutley, according to a recent poll.
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The online Leger Marketing survey of 1,002 Alberts conducted March 18-20 shows the NDP with 44 percent support among determined voters compared to 35 percent for the ruling UCP. But with Brian Jean at the helm of the UCP, the parties will be tied, each with 31 percent of the vote, according to the poll. Combined with these results are opinion polls showing that 58 per cent of Albertans believe Kenny should step down as prime minister, with just 18 per cent saying he should stay in office. Among UCP members, some of whom are scheduled to vote next month in a leadership review, 31 percent believe Kenney should resign while 43 percent say he should stay in office. These poll results came before UCP brass chose to conduct next month’s leadership review by mail-order vote, overturning its April 9 vote in Red Deer, a move that further encouraged anti-Kenney sentiment. party.
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On Thursday, UCP supporters Peter Guthrie and Jason Stephan called on Kenney to step down or go straight to a leadership contest, saying he had lost the confidence of many Albertans. The results of the poll could be a wake-up call not only for Kenney but also for the NDP, said Ian Large, executive vice president of Leger Marketing. “There are a lot of people moving in from the ‘undecided’ – 13 per cent under Kenney leadership. “which jumps to 23 percent with Jean,” said Large. “It’s probably milder NDP (support) than we expected.” Jean’s absence from the political battle so far may have left him relatively unscathed in the eyes of many voters, Large said. “It has the power of ‘you do not really know me,’” Large added.
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Former Wildrose Party leader Jean was defeated by Kenney in his 2017 bid to lead the UCP in a race tainted by funding irregularities and an ongoing RCMP investigation. Earlier this month, Jean won the Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche election for the UCP on a platform to oust Kenney as prime minister. Leger’s work is consistent with a recent survey conducted by Janet Brown’s poll, which suggests that Kenney’s electoral prospects are weaker than potential skeptics like Jean, said Lori Williams, a political scientist at Mount Royal University. “It’s no longer just a choice between Jason Kenney and Rachel Notley. “(Kenney’s) argument that only he can lead the party to victory is gone,” Williams said. The rise of the undecided in the Jean leadership scenario of the poll could speak to discontent among traditional UCP voters, Williams said.
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“If (Conservative voters) are angry enough, they could (move) away from voting in the NDP as they did in 2015,” he said. The results of the poll show that significant frustration with the UCP among right-wing voters will only increase with last week’s internal strife, Williams said. Other recent polls have shown a number of results in the fate of the two leading parties, but Large said Leger’s polls continue to suggest a steady rise in the NDP, although it has fallen one point since December and the UCP has won three. With news shining on the pandemic and economic fronts – with a recent balanced budget presented by the UCP, mainly due to much higher world oil prices – this slow trend could be accelerated, he added.
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“I would not be surprised if this upward trend and the natural (historical) dominance of the Conservatives continued,” Large said. But Williams said Kenny, in the eyes of too many Alberts, has a dubious history to defend and a history that may not be saved by the thickest state coffers, especially if the province’s working image does not improve. “He is the one who has the record to defend and I do not know if (surplus budgets) will be enough to bring about this overthrow,” he said. The Leger poll shows that 50 percent of Albertans believe the province is heading in the wrong direction, an improvement of four points from the company’s survey in December. In the most recent survey, 30 percent of Albertans see the county heading in the right direction compared to 23 percent three months ago.
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In a funding announcement for STARS Air Ambulance in Calgary on Friday, Kenney noted that he is the best man to lead the UCP and Alberta, given his track record of protecting the province through pandemics and economic downturns. “With this experience, I am the best person to move this party and the province forward,” he said, adding that he was looking forward to next month’s leadership review and embracing “the opportunity for accountability.” At the same time, he acknowledged that many in his party were “reasonably disappointed” with his government’s restrictions on COVID-19 – actions he said were needed to save lives and the health care system. The margin of error across the poll province is plus or minus 3.1 percent 19 times 20. [email protected] Twitter: @BillKaufmannjrn
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