Question: “What do former Presidents Donald Trump and Barack Obama have in common?”
Answer: Both of Biden’s most immediate predecessors in the White House suffered from negative polls on the eve of their first by-elections and both saw their party lose control of the House of Representatives.
In November 2010, Obama’s approval rating was underwater by 4 points, as Republicans led a strong red wave for the Tea Party to overthrow the House with a huge net gain of 63 seats, the largest change of seats in more than 60 years. .
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Eight years later, Trump’s acceptance score was almost 10 points under the eve of the 2018 interim presidential term, when the Democrats returned to reclaim the House majority thanks to a 41-seat pickup.
President Biden announces a ban on Russian oil imports, stepping up taxes on the Russian economy in retaliation for its invasion of Ukraine on Tuesday, March 8, 2022, at the Roosevelt Hall in the White House in Washington. (AP Photo / Andrew Harnik) (AP Photo / Andrew Harnik)
Fast forward again four years to date and Biden is in a similar negative area.
The president has 45% approval and 54% disapproval in the latest national Fox News poll, and the average of all recent Biden polls conducted by Real Clear Politics puts him at 41% -53%.
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By-elections are often a referendum on the president and his record in power, and the presidential acceptance rating has long been a key barometer before midterm elections. And that poses problems for Democrats, who are trying to defend their slim majorities in Parliament and the Senate in the November election.
With just seven months to go before the Americans vote, Fox News has contacted some Democrat generals and advisers for advice on how the president can increase his numbers to help his party go to the polls.
Democrat Bill Burton, a longtime adviser, pointed to a message-sharing problem for the president, telling Fox News that “President Biden was a transformational leader at a critical time for our country and almost no American knows it.”
“It’s very important to announce what the president did to boost the economy and get our country out of the depths of the coronavirus pandemic,” said Burton, a veteran of Obama’s 2008 presidential campaign and the Obama White House.
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Democrat General Chris Moyer told Fox News that Biden “should go to places with the most important races and sell, sell, sell.”
The number of Americans applying for unemployment fell to its lowest level in more than half a century last week, and wages are rising. But extremely positive economic measurements are largely overshadowed by skyrocketing inflation, including historically high gas prices.
Marking with fuel prices at a Shell gas station in Hercules, California, USA, on Wednesday, March 9, 2022. The average price of gasoline in the US jumped above $ 4 a gallon for the first time since 2008 as a clear indication of the hurting inflation consumers since Russia invaded Ukraine. (David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Moyer, a veteran of several Democratic presidential and state campaigns, said “the president should do everything he can to reduce gas prices, which could include a federal gas tax holiday.”
Democrat longtime councilor Jesse Ferguson said: “There is clear evidence that the economy is recovering and Democrats need to be relentless in telling this story. When people can find work if they want to and get paid more if they work, it’s it clearly can tell the story of an economy that has not yet been corrected, but is no longer faltering. “
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“As long as people feel very real anxiety, they have to see that Democrats are stabilizing things while Republicans are realizing the worst fears of that anxiety,” said Ferguson, who has toured extensively on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “Democrats can not promise lullabies, but just show that people can sleep well, while Republicans will liven up all their nightmares.”
Biden’s acceptance rate ranged from low to mid-1950s during his first six months in the White House. But the president’s numbers began to decline in August following the handling of the tumultuous U.S. exit from Afghanistan by Biden and the rise in COVID-19 cases last summer among mostly unvaccinated people due to the Delta variant.
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The plunge in the president’s approval, which continued last fall and winter, was also fueled largely by rising consumer prices and to a lesser extent by last year’s rise in immigrants trying to cross into the US across the south. border with Mexico.
FILE PHOTO: A group of asylum seekers from Mexico, Cuba and Haiti are held by the US Border Patrol in San Luis, Arizona, USA, April 19, 2021. (REUTERS / Jim Urquhart / File Photo)
There is constant concern as soon as you cross the top lines in research. Biden’s approval of most important issues – including the economy – is also very underwater and has deteriorated with key voting blocs helping him to the White House in the 2020 election.
“Who knows what the world will look like in the fall, but we should expect the economy and inflation control to remain at the heart of the electorate,” said Lucas Meyer, a New Hampshire-based Democrat adviser and activist.
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Meyer suggested that the president’s new proposal, unveiled on Monday in the US government’s 2023 budget plan for taxing American billionaires, “could help the Democrats come under attack to deal with both.” issues “.
“This will only apply to a small fraction of the people whose household wealth exceeds $ 100 million and most of the income will come from Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg. “The rich – whose wealth has skyrocketed during the pandemic – pay a tax rate closer to that paid by firefighters, teachers, nurses and small business owners,” Meyer said.
President Joe Biden delivers his first State of the Union address to a joint congressional hearing in the Capitol on Tuesday, March 1, 2022, in Washington, DC, as Vice President Kamala Harris and Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California applaud. (Julia Nikhinson / Pool via AP) (Julia Nikhinson / Pool via AP)
California-based Progressive Councilor Michael Cesaro noted Biden’s speech on the state of the Union on March 1 – which has been dominated by Russia’s invasion of neighboring Ukraine – and worried that “Democrats are having problems with the state of the Union. “As a preamble to what we Democrats are, I will focus.”
Cesaro, a veteran of the Obama campaign in 2008, Senator Bernie Saunders for the 2016 presidential election, and now Sessie Transport. Pete Buttigieg’s 2020 bid to the White House suggested to the President “to start the election season by bringing together non-hereditary organizations focusing on criminal justice, voter rights, education, health care and reproductive justice.” ask them what it can do for them. “
And he urged Biden “to stop wandering in organizations that have little influence in electoral politics and for the love of God, to return slowly away from the strategy for white men in the countryside, otherwise we will lose 2022 and 2024.” .
“But Cesaro also stressed that the president can not fool the ball abroad.”
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Iowa-based longtime Democratic and Communications Adviser Jeff Link also noted the deadly attack by Russian leader Vladimir Putin on Ukraine, urging Biden to “keep allied forces strong against Putin.”
Link, a veteran of many presidential and state campaigns, also urged the president to “make quick money on infrastructure.”
